Saturday, March 25, 2006

AL Central Preview - Detroit Tigers

While I've maintained all spring that the Twins are getting overlooked and will be dangerous, the same could be said of the Motor City Kitties.
When I read what some are saying about this team, all I can think is, "Have you looked at their roster?"
They have an emerging pitching staff, the most underrated keystone combo in the sport, a nice bench, and a manager I think will have a positive effect on them.
Probable Starting Lineup:
CF Curtis Granderson
2B Placido Polanco
1B Chris Shelton
RF Magglio Ordonez
C Ivan Rodriguez
SS Carlos Guillen
DH Dmitri Young
LF Craig Monroe
3B Brandon Inge
Starting Rotation:
RH Jeremy Bonderman
LH Kenny Rogers
LH Mike Maroth
LH Nate Robertson
RH Justin Verlander
Closer: Todd Jones
There may not be two players in the AL as underrated as Polanco and Guillen. I just love these guys. Both are on-base machines with good power for a middle infielder, and both are excellent in the field.
I-Rod's career is on the downside, but he's still one of the top 10 catchers in the league, if not top 5.
Chris Shelton started last year in the minors and ended it hitting .299 with 18 homers in the bigs. Dmitri Young (.271, 21 HR), Craig Monroe (.277, 20 HR) and Brandon Inge (.261, 16 HR) make pretty good 7-8-9 hitters.
If I thought Magglio would play more than 100 games (I don't) I'd really like this team.
They could do better than Granderson in CF - I think I'd hit Guillen leadoff and Granderson 9th.
The bench has speed (Nook Logan is the fastest player in the game), power (Carlos Pena hit 18 HRs in 260 ABs last year) and defense (utility man Omar Infante, OF Marcus Thames and C Vance Wilson are all good with the leather).
On the mound, Bonderman is a stud, and the Gambler will have at least one more good year if he can leave the Detroit cameramen alone. A big key will be Maroth and Robertson pitching like 3rd starters, not 5th starters. And speaking of 5th starters, top prospect Justin Verlander gets the first crack. He's probably not ready just yet, but if he gives them anything it would be a nice boost.
The bullpen is questionable, but has lots of live arms.
Todd Jones was out of baseball a couple years ago; last year he had 40 saves and a 2.10 ERA. I doubt he'll duplicate that, but he'll be solid. Fireballers Franklyn German and Fernando Rodney need to get it together in middle relief, and if they do, they could combine with lefty Jamie Walker and righties Chris Spurling and 21-year old Joel Zumaya to do a decent job.
The Good: Very deep lineup, excellent defense, outstanding 1-2 starters, good bench.
The Bad: Several regulars have history of injuries, bullpen is unproven, 3-5 starters could be no better than average. Manager Jim Leyland has been out of baseball for almost a decade.
Best Case Scenario: Ordonez stays healthy and puts up MVP numbers, Shelton takes another step forward, I-Rod shows he's got plenty left in the tank, Maroth and Robertson have their best season, bullpen emerges and the Tigers win 90 games, competing for a playoff spot.
Worst Case Scenario: Ordonez, Young and Guillen spend significant time on DL, Rogers and I-Rod fade, back end of rotation fails, bullpen fails, Shelton has sophomore slump, Leyland is out of his element and the Tigers lose 90 games.
Detroit Tigers
Manager: Jim Leyland
Offense: B+
Defense: B
Starting Pitching: B-
Bullpen: C
Bench: B+
Predicition: 84-78 3rd in AL Central

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