Sunday, December 25, 2005

2006 - The Lineup

The Twins added Rondell White, and I'm pretty pumped. He might not be as big a name as Frank Thomas, Mike Piazza or Jim THome, but he's probably a better signing.
His only downside has been injuries, and the Twins plan to buffer that by making him a full-time DH. His contract is also heavily incentive laden, which protects them from having to pay him $8 million for 150 at-bats.
If he plays 140 games, White will likely hit in the .280-.300 range, with 25 homers and 100 RBIs.
Make no mistake, though, this is it. The Twins are done adding players. With the addition of Denny Reyes to fill the lefty role previously occupied by JC Romero, the Twins roster is pretty much set.
Assuming Batista doesn't totally bomb in spring training, I'm guessing the lineup will look something like this.
LF - Shannon Stewart
2B - Luis Castillo
C - Joe Mauer
DH - Rondell White
CF - Torii Hunter
1B - Justin Morneau
3B - Tony Batista
RF - Michael Cuddyer/Jason Kubel/Lew Ford
SS - Jason Bartlett
* A few comments: I'd put a microscope on Shannon Stewart. I think there's a 30% chance that he's DONE. He could bounce back, and if he does the Twins lineup can be very dangerous. But if he's hitting .270 on June 1st, I'd replace him with Kubel and let Cuddy stay in right (unless of course, Cuddyer is sucking, too.) Remember, Stewart no longer steals any bases, and is one of the 5 worst defensive OF's in the big leagues. He has to hit .300 (with about a .375 OBP) to be worth an everday spot.
And speaking of the OF, I don't care if Lew Ford bats .700 in spring training, I wouldn't let him start in RF. He's a perfect fourth outfielder - that's where he should stay.
I'd bat White 4th, but I'd have Morneau right behind him. Gardy will surely bat him behind Hunter, and maybe even behind Batista, because he doesn't know how to make a lineup. If Morneau finally comes around though, it'll be a moot point.
Speaking of Batista, he should be batting 8th, because no matter how many HR's he hits, he'll make a ton of outs. Even if Cuddyer struggles again, he'll still get on base much more, so he should be 7th.
Alot of people are ripping on Batista, most of it deserved, but if he hits 30 homers in the 8-hole, it won't matter to me that his OBP is only .280.
*Joe Mays signed with KC. I wouldn't expect him to have a big year, but I wouldn't be one bit surprised if he shut out the Twins three times next year.

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